Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Wednesday 11 May 2022
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Wednesday 11 May 2022. Leeds vs Chelsea (Chelsea or draw) sits top on 92% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · England
Chelsea or draw
92%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
88%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla or draw
86%
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
86%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
82%
Premier League · England
Leicester or draw
81%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw
79%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves or draw
79%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC or draw
79%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
79%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice or draw
79%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha or draw
79%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur or draw
78%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm or draw
77%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha or draw
77%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba or draw
77%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord or draw
76%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde or draw
76%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
76%
Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Predictions by country
UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 11 May 2022?
19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leeds vs Chelsea (Chelsea or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.