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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 8 May 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 8 May 2022. Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart (Bayern München or draw) led the list at 91% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 91%

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Werder Bremen or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 64%

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 58%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lechia Gdansk or draw 87%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 85%

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Premier League · England Leicester or draw 84%

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 84%

Serie A · Brazil Atletico Goianiense or draw 84%

#10

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 84%

Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#11

Serie A · Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 82%

#12

Ligue 1 · France Lyon or draw 81%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%

#13

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 80%

#14

Allsvenskan · Sweden Varbergs BoIS FC or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#15

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#16

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%

#17

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 78%

#18

La Liga · Spain Villarreal or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%

#19

Eliteserien · Norway Ham-Kam or draw 78%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%

#20

Primeira Liga · Portugal Santa Clara or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 8 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart (Bayern München or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.