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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Thursday 12 May 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 12 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to FC Zurich vs Lausanne (FC Zurich or draw) at 90% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 90%
FC Zurich
2 : 2 FT
Lausanne
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 90%
Lahti
1 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 10%
Draw 24%
Win 66%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 70% HJK Helsinki Clean Sheet 63%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 84%
Real Madrid
6 : 0 FT
Levante
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 84%
Viking
0 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Shabab or draw 84%
Al Shabab
1 : 0 FT
Al-Faisaly FC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland KuPS or draw 80%
KuPS
2 : 1 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Vicenza Virtus or draw 76%
Vicenza Virtus
1 : 0 FT
Cosenza
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Real Sociedad or draw 76%
Real Sociedad
3 : 0 FT
Cadiz
Win 33%
Draw 43%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 87% ✓ BTTS No 78% ✓ Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 57%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 75%
Anderlecht
2 : 1 FT
Antwerp
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 12 May 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Zurich vs Lausanne (FC Zurich or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.