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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 29 April 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Friday 29 April 2022. Union Berlin vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Union Berlin or draw) sits top on 90% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 73%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Union Berlin or draw 90%
Union Berlin
1 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
BTTS No 56%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 87%
Fenerbahçe
3 : 2 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk or draw 86%
Genk
4 : 2 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians or draw 84%
Bohemians
3 : 0 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 68%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Schalke 04 or draw 83%
SV Sandhausen
1 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Werder Bremen or draw 81%
Werder Bremen
2 : 3 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland Dundalk or draw 80%
Dundalk
4 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Ilves or draw 80%
Ilves
3 : 1 FT
SJK
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Ajax or draw 79%
MVV
1 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 21%
Draw 21%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Honka or draw 78%
Lahti
0 : 2 FT
Honka
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shelbourne or draw 77%
Finn Harps
1 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain Sevilla or draw 77%
Sevilla
1 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Heidenheim or draw 77%
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 3 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 76%
Famalicao
3 : 1 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 76%
NAC Breda
3 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 29 April 2022?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Union Berlin vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Union Berlin or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.