🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 30 April 2022

Wed 27 Thu 28 Fri 29 Sat 30 Sun 1 Mon 2 Tue 3

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 30 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to FC Porto vs Vizela (FC Porto or draw) at 92% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 91%

Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 60%

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Süper Lig · Turkey Konyaspor or draw 89%

Serie A · Brazil America Mineiro or draw 88%

Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%

League One · England Rotherham or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 74% ✓ Rotherham Clean Sheet 64%

Serie B · Italy Pisa or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%

#10

League One · England Oxford United or draw 85%

Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#11

Ligue 2 · France Paris FC or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 61%

#12

Championship · England Blackpool or draw 85%

#13

Championship · England Millwall or draw 84%

Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#14

League Two · England Sutton Utd or draw 84%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64%

#15

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 83%

#16

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 83%

#17

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

#18

Allsvenskan · Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 83%

#19

League One · England Bolton or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#20

League Two · England Tranmere or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 30 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs Vizela (FC Porto or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.