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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 1 May 2022

Thu 28 Fri 29 Sat 30 Sun 1 Mon 2 Tue 3 Wed 4

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 1 May 2022. PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II (PSV Eindhoven or draw) led the list at 94% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS No 57% PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 54%

La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%

Allsvenskan · Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 88%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 65% Mjallby AIF Clean Sheet 57%

Serie A · Brazil Internacional or draw 87%

Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 84%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 65% Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 54%

Premier League · England Chelsea or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Ligue 1 · France Monaco or draw 83%

Serie A · Brazil Corinthians or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 82%

Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 68% Juventus Clean Sheet 56%

#10

Süper Lig · Turkey Alanyaspor or draw 82%

#11

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 82%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%

#12

Thai League 1 · Thailand Bangkok United or draw 81%

#13

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 65%

#14

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#15

Premier League · England Tottenham or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#16

Premier League · Russia Khimki or draw 78%

Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#17

Primeira Liga · Portugal Vitória SC or draw 78%

#18

Serie A · Italy AS Roma or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#19

Ligue 1 · France Montpellier or draw 78%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%

#20

Super League 1 · Greece Panathinaikos or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 1 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.