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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 8 April 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Friday 8 April 2022. Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers (Shamrock Rovers or draw) sits top on 89% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 89%
Shelbourne
1 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 11%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 62%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 65% Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 84%
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 2 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior or draw 84%
Excelsior
1 : 4 FT
Telstar
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 84%
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal GIL Vicente or draw 83%
GIL Vicente
1 : 2 FT
Moreirense
Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 83%
GO Ahead Eagles
4 : 0 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen or draw 83%
Emmen
3 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Sevilla or draw 81%
Sevilla
4 : 2 FT
Granada CF
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#9 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Lahti or draw 80%
Lahti
0 : 5 FT
VPS
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda or draw 80%
Roda
2 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 77%
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 23%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 55%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 76%
FC Eindhoven
3 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 75%
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 0 FT
Dundalk
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 8 April 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers (Shamrock Rovers or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.