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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 9 April 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 9 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam (Ajax or draw) at 92% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%

League One · England Wycombe or draw 91%

BTTS No 61% Wycombe Clean Sheet 56%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 90%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 58%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 89%

Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 57%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

League One · England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 60%

Super League 1 · Greece OFI or draw 86%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lechia Gdansk or draw 86%

Premier Division · Ireland Sligo Rovers or draw 86%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%

#10

Serie B · Italy Lecce or draw 85%

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%

#11

Ligue 2 · France Sochaux or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#12

La Liga · Spain Villarreal or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 56%

#13

Championship · England Millwall or draw 85%

Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 71% Millwall Clean Sheet 60%

#14

League One · England Fleetwood Town or draw 85%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%

#15

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 84%

#16

Championship · England Nottingham Forest or draw 84%

#17

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lech Poznan or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%

#18

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 84%

#19

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 83%

Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#20

League Two · England Port Vale or draw 83%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 9 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam (Ajax or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.