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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 5 April 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 5 April 2022. Wigan vs Accrington ST (Wigan or draw) led the list at 88% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 92%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · England Wigan or draw 88%

Serie B · Italy Cremonese or draw 87%

League One · England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 87%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 61%

Championship · England Sheffield Utd or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Championship · England Luton or draw 84%

Primera División · Chile Curico Unido or draw 83%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%

Championship · England Millwall or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%

K League 1 · South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw 76%

Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%

#10

Serie B · Italy Spal or draw 75%

#11

Superettan · Sweden Orgryte IS or draw 75%

#12

League One · England Bolton or draw 75%

✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 5 April 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Wigan vs Accrington ST (Wigan or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.