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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 13 March 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 13 March 2022. Paris Saint Germain vs Bordeaux (Paris Saint Germain or draw) sits top on 94% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 55%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC Schalke 04 or draw 85%

Serie A · Italy Atalanta or draw 85%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 84%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%

Serie A · Italy Fiorentina or draw 84%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 83%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%

#10

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 82%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%

#11

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 82%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%

#12

La Liga · Spain Real Sociedad or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#13

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#14

Super League 1 · Greece Panathinaikos or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%

#15

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 81%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%

#16

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 81%

Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 73%

#17

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Genk or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#18

Premier League · England Southampton or draw 80%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%

#19

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 64%

#20

K League 1 · South-Korea Gangwon FC or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 68%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 13 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Paris Saint Germain vs Bordeaux (Paris Saint Germain or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.