Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 11 March 2022
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
14 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 11 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Excelsior Virton vs KVC Westerlo (KVC Westerlo or draw) at 90% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo or draw
90%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
86%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
85%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise or draw
81%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen or draw
80%
Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk or draw
80%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Nieciecza or draw
80%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira or draw
80%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid or draw
80%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers or draw
79%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel or draw
79%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha or draw
77%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr or draw
76%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam or draw
75%
Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 11 March 2022?
14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Excelsior Virton vs KVC Westerlo (KVC Westerlo or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.