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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 22 February 2022

Sat 19 Sun 20 Mon 21 Tue 22 Wed 23 Thu 24 Fri 25

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 22 February 2022. Rotherham vs Morecambe (Rotherham or draw) led the list at 87% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 84%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · England Rotherham or draw 87%

Championship · England Middlesbrough or draw 85%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 67% Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 57%

Serie B · Italy Cremonese or draw 84%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%

League One · England Sunderland or draw 82%

League One · England Oxford United or draw 81%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slovácko or draw 80%

Championship · England Hull City or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65%

League One · England Bolton or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

League Two · England Northampton or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#10

League Two · England Swindon Town or draw 78%

Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#11

Serie B · Italy Ternana or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#12

Serie B · Italy Monza or draw 76%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%

#13

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Fateh or draw 76%

#14

League One · England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 76%

#15

Championship · England Nottingham Forest or draw 76%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#16

League Two · England Colchester or draw 75%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%

#17

Serie B · Italy Perugia or draw 75%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%

#18

League One · England Ipswich or draw 75%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%

#19

League One · England AFC Wimbledon or draw 75%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 22 February 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Rotherham vs Morecambe (Rotherham or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.