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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 20 February 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 20 February 2022. Bayern München vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Bayern München or draw) sits top on 97% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 97% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 97%
Bayern München
4 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 90%
Draw 7%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 88% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 92%
Slavia Praha
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 91%
Rennes
4 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Real Betis or draw 86%
Real Betis
2 : 1 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Lecce or draw 85%
Lecce
3 : 0 FT
Crotone
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 85%
Volos NFC
0 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 15%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 85%
Antwerp
1 : 2 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 84%
FC St. Pauli
0 : 3 FT
Hannover 96
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece Lamia or draw 83%
Lamia
1 : 2 FT
Apollon Smirnis
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 60%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 83%
AS Eupen
1 : 3 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 17%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 83%
Moreirense
0 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 62%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 83%
Twente
2 : 2 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Royal Excel Mouscron or draw 82%
Royal Excel Mouscron
2 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 82%
Aris Thessalonikis
0 : 0 FT
PAOK
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 59%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 81%
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 0 FT
Wolfsberger AC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 81%
Fenerbahçe
2 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Radomiak Radom or draw 80%
Warta Poznań
3 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 80%
Marseille
0 : 2 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#19 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 80%
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 1 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#20 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 80%
Tondela
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 20 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Bayern München or draw) at 97% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.