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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 19 February 2022

Wed 16 Thu 17 Fri 18 Sat 19 Sun 20 Mon 21 Tue 22

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 19 February 2022. Salernitana vs AC Milan (AC Milan or draw) led the list at 93% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Italy AC Milan or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 58% Liverpool Clean Sheet 54%

Championship · England Derby or draw 91%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 90%

✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Ajax Clean Sheet 55%

League Two · England Forest Green or draw 90%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 67% Forest Green Clean Sheet 61%

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 89%

League One · England Plymouth or draw 89%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 58%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 87%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#10

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 86%

Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#11

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 85%

#12

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 85%

#13

Thai League 1 · Thailand Bangkok United or draw 85%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%

#14

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 85%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%

#15

Championship · England Sheffield Utd or draw 83%

Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 54%

#16

Primeira Liga · Portugal GIL Vicente or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#17

Premier League · England Southampton or draw 82%

#18

League One · England Bolton or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%

#19

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 81%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%

#20

Championship · England Coventry or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

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French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 19 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Salernitana vs AC Milan (AC Milan or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.