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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 28 July 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 28 July 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Haugesund vs Stromsgodset (Haugesund or draw) at 93% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Haugesund or draw 93%
Haugesund v Stromsgodset prediction
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 19%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway ODD Ballklubb or draw 84%
ODD Ballklubb v Sandefjord prediction
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Lillestrom or draw 80%
Lillestrom v Sarpsborg 08 FF prediction
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile O'Higgins or draw 80%
O'Higgins v Curico Unido prediction
Win 40%
Draw 39%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 67%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile Cobresal or draw 79%
Cobresal v D. Melipilla prediction
Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#6 Super League Β· China Hebei Zhongji or draw 78%
Hebei Zhongji v Dalian Aerbin prediction
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Super League Β· China Changchun Yatai or draw 77%
Tianjin Teda v Changchun Yatai prediction
Win 23%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway Mjondalen or draw 76%
Mjondalen v Stabaek prediction
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 28 July 2021?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Haugesund vs Stromsgodset (Haugesund or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.