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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 25 July 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 25 July 2021. Ried vs Austria Vienna (Austria Vienna or draw) sits top on 95% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria Austria Vienna or draw 95%
Ried v Austria Vienna prediction
Win 5%
Draw 26%
Win 69%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 73% Austria Vienna Clean Sheet 70%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Austria Wolfsberger AC or draw 95%
Austria Klagenfurt v Wolfsberger AC prediction
Win 5%
Draw 26%
Win 69%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 73% Wolfsberger AC Clean Sheet 70%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 92%
Grasshoppers v FC Basel 1893 prediction
Win 8%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 72%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC or draw 92%
FC Sion v Servette FC prediction
Win 8%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 87%
FC Lugano v FC Zurich prediction
Win 13%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 68%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 72%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia FC UFA or draw 86%
CSKA Moscow v FC UFA prediction
Win 14%
Draw 22%
Win 64%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia Akhmat or draw 86%
Krylia Sovetov v Akhmat prediction
Win 14%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 63%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 59%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Holstein Kiel or draw 86%
FC St. Pauli v Holstein Kiel prediction
Win 14%
Draw 34%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Erzgebirge AUE or draw 86%
1. FC Nürnberg v Erzgebirge AUE prediction
Win 14%
Draw 34%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 86%
SV Sandhausen v Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction
Win 14%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 83%
KV Mechelen v Antwerp prediction
Win 17%
Draw 38%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent or draw 81%
St. Truiden v Gent prediction
Win 19%
Draw 31%
Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil Santos or draw 81%
Santos v Atletico Goianiense prediction
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#14 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Inter Turku or draw 81%
Mariehamn v Inter Turku prediction
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile Palestino or draw 79%
Palestino v Santiago Wanderers prediction
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 37%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Warta Poznań or draw 79%
Slask Wroclaw v Warta Poznań prediction
Win 21%
βœ“ Draw 41%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 65%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 78%
Pogon Szczecin v Gornik Zabrze prediction
Win 22%
Draw 39%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 78%
Ural v FC Krasnodar prediction
Win 22%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium AS Eupen or draw 78%
Club Brugge KV v AS Eupen prediction
Win 22%
Draw 35%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 58%
#20 Superettan Β· Sweden IFK Varnamo or draw 77%
IFK Varnamo v Vasalund prediction
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 23%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 25 July 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ried vs Austria Vienna (Austria Vienna or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.