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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 30 July 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Friday 30 July 2021. Guangzhou R&F vs Qingdao Huanghai (Guangzhou R&F or draw) sits top on 85% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Guangzhou R&F or draw 85%
Guangzhou R&F v Qingdao Huanghai prediction
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 56%
#2 Super League Β· China Guangzhou Evergrande FC or draw 81%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 or draw 79%
Karlsruher SC v SV Darmstadt 98 prediction
Win 21%
Draw 38%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Nürnberg or draw 79%
SC Paderborn 07 v 1. FC Nürnberg prediction
Win 21%
Draw 38%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 58%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile Universidad de Chile or draw 79%
Universidad de Chile v Nublense prediction
Win 43%
Draw 36%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 78%
Gornik Zabrze v Lech Poznan prediction
Win 42%
Draw 36%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#7 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 78%
Shandong Luneng v Henan Jianye prediction
Win 37%
Draw 41%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia Rubin or draw 77%
Arsenal Tula v Rubin prediction
Win 23%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Oostende or draw 77%
Genk v Oostende prediction
Win 23%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland Drogheda United or draw 77%
Drogheda United v Waterford prediction
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Zaglebie Lubin or draw 76%
Zaglebie Lubin v Górnik Łęczna prediction
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 38%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine Lviv or draw 76%
Lviv v Shakhtar Donetsk prediction
Win 37%
Draw 39%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Super League Β· China Shijiazhuang Y. J. or draw 75%

Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 30 July 2021?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Guangzhou R&F vs Qingdao Huanghai (Guangzhou R&F or draw) at 85% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.