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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 9 May 2027

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

52 matches clear our threshold on Sunday 9 May 2027. ADO Den Haag vs NEC Nijmegen tops the list at 84% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eredivisie supplies seven of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
: 11:00
Rayong FC
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
: 11:00
Prachuap
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Pattani
: 11:30
Ratchaburi
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Amed
: 12:00
Çorum FK
Win 66%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
: 12:00
Rizespor
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
: 12:00
Gaziantep FK
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
: 12:00
Eyüpspor
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
: 12:00
Kocaelispor
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
: 12:00
Erzurumspor FK
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
: 12:00
Göztepe
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor
: 12:00
Alanyaspor
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
: 12:00
Fenerbahçe
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ayutthaya FC
: 12:00
Chonburi FC
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
: 15:00
Ajax
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
: 15:00
Heerenveen
Win 17%
Draw 16%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
: 15:00
NEC Nijmegen
Win 11%
Draw 13%
Win 76%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–3 · 8%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
: 15:00
Excelsior
Win 45%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
: 15:00
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
: 15:00
Groningen
Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
: 15:00
Feyenoord
Win 17%
Draw 17%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
: 15:00
Telstar
Win 18%
Draw 20%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
: 15:00
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Academico Viseu
: 15:00
Moreirense
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Alverca
: 15:00
Estoril
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
: 15:00
GIL Vicente
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
: 15:00
Maritimo
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela
: 15:00
Santa Clara
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
: 15:00
Casa Pia
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional
: 15:00
FC Porto
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
: 15:00
Vitória SC
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
: 15:00
Benfica
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves
: 15:00
Levante
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
: 15:00
Malaga
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
: 15:00
Espanyol
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
: 15:00
Elche
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
: 15:00
Real Sociedad
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Racing Santander
: 15:00
Sevilla
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
: 15:00
Deportivo La Coruna
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
: 15:00
Barcelona
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
: 15:00
Atletico Madrid
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
: 15:00
Celta Vigo
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
: 16:30
AS Roma
Win 16%
Draw 21%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Frosinone
: 16:30
Atalanta
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Genoa
: 16:30
Cagliari
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
: 16:30
Lecce
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio
: 16:30
Sassuolo
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
: 16:30
Monza
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Parma
: 16:30
AC Milan
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Torino
: 16:30
Bologna
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
: 16:30
Juventus
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Venezia
: 16:30
Como
Win 12%
Draw 19%
Win 69%
Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
: 18:45
Paris Saint Germain
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 52 of 52 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 9 May 2027?

52 fixtures met the criteria, led by ADO Den Haag vs NEC Nijmegen at 84% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.