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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 13 December 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

30 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 13 December 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Jong AZ vs Emmen at 75% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 27%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League Β· Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 FT
Livyi Bereh
Win 37%
Draw 37%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Bodrum FK
2 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
2 : 0 FT
Eyüpspor
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
4 : 2 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
1 : 2 FT
Preußen Münster
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
4 : 0 FT
Martigues
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
Rodez
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
3 : 1 FT
Guingamp
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ PAU Clean Sheet 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
1 : 3 FT
Laval
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
0 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 0 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 2 FT
Cambuur
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
0 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 3 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
1 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
0 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
3 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
1 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 1 FT
RAAL La Louvière
Win 30%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 49%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
3 : 2 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
2 : 0 FT
Bari
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
2 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
1 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Derby
4 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
La Liga Β· Spain
Valladolid
1 : 0 FT
Valencia
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 30 of 30 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 13 December 2024?

30 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong AZ vs Emmen at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.