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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 6 October 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

40 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 6 October 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Adana Demirspor vs Trabzonspor at 80% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 1 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
3 : 2 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
1 : 5 FT
Port FC
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1 FT
Hatta SC
✓ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
3 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves
3 : 2 FT
AC Oulu
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
2 : 2 FT
Abha
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
2 : 1 FT
Al Wahda FC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 1 FT
VfL Osnabrück
Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 66%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
✓ Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
0 : 0 FT
Udinese
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
1 : 0 FT
Trabzonspor
✓ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
1 : 0 FT
Utrecht
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 31%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Telstar
✓ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
4 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
✓ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
3 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
✓ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
4 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
✓ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
3 : 2 FT
Groningen
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
3 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
2 : 3 FT
MVV
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
5 : 2 FT
Cambuur
✓ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 0 FT
Standard Liège II
✓ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 3 FT
Dender
Win 24%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 67%
Draw 16%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 : 2 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
4 : 1 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
✓ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
1 : 1 FT
Feralpisalo
Win 50%
Draw 35%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Serie A · Italy
Lecce
1 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
2 : 1 FT
RWDM
✓ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 0 FT
Derry City
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 0 FT
Dundalk
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Championship · England
Birmingham
3 : 1 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
1 : 2 FT
Nantes
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
3 : 0 FT
Almeria
✓ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 1 FT
Boavista
Win 33%
Draw 22%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
2 : 4 FT
Huachipato
Win 35%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 38%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 40 of 40 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 6 October 2023?

40 fixtures met the criteria, led by Adana Demirspor vs Trabzonspor at 80% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.