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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 14 May 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

88 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 14 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Arsenal vs Brighton at 79% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada
Cavalry FC
2 : 2 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 27%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 0 FT
Internacional
✓ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Vancouver FC
0 : 5 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 18%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3 : 2 FT
FC Seoul
✓ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
2 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City
2 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
0 : 5 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Lviv
0 : 2 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 33%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Metal Kharkiv
0 : 5 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 24%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 52%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 0 FT
Cambuur
✓ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 21%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Coventry
0 : 0 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
2 : 1 FT
Lyon
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten
4 : 1 FT
IK brage
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
1 : 1 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 12%
Draw 22%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
1 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 2 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
✓ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
2 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1 : 5 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 36%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
3 : 2 FT
Club Brugge KV
✓ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
1 : 2 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 16%
Draw 36%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
✓ Win 38%
Draw 38%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
1 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 28%
✓ Draw 37%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 2 FT
Valencia
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
1 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
✓ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
1 : 1 FT
FC Zurich
Win 84%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 3–0 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
4 : 1 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
✓ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
0 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 23%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 54%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Brentford
2 : 0 FT
West Ham
✓ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Everton
0 : 3 FT
Manchester City
Win 15%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
1 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 0 FT
Auxerre
✓ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
4 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
✓ Win 77%
Draw 13%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–0 · 8%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 2 FT
Miedz Legnica
✓ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
3 : 0 FT
Sirius
✓ Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–0 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
4 : 3 FT
Djurgardens IF
✓ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
2 : 0 FT
IFK Varnamo
✓ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Gefle IF
4 : 1 FT
Skövde AIK
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
2 : 0 FT
Udinese
✓ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
2 : 0 FT
Napoli
Win 14%
Draw 22%
Win 64%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
2 : 1 FT
Zlin
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zbrojovka Brno
0 : 2 FT
Pardubice
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
0 : 3 FT
Akhmat
Win 22%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Elche
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 20%
Draw 23%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
0 : 0 FT
Nantes
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
0 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
✓ Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
6 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
3 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
✓ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
3 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
✓ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
0 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Arsenal
0 : 3 FT
Brighton
Win 60%
Draw 18%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
✓ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
0 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
0 : 1 FT
Malmo FF
Win 20%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
1 : 3 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
0 : 0 FT
AS Roma
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
1 : 0 FT
FC Rostov
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Fakel
1 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
✓ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 0 FT
Al Shabab
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
0 : 0 FT
Slovácko
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
0 : 3 FT
Sevilla
Win 31%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
3 : 0 FT
Genk
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
2 : 0 FT
Nublense
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
5 : 3 FT
Santa Clara
✓ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
BTTS No 66% SC Braga Clean Sheet 62%
Model Score 2–0 · 17%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
4 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
✓ Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 46%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
0 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 36%
Draw 36%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Carlisle
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 1 FT
Emmen
✓ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
✓ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 74%
Model Score 3–0 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
3 : 1 FT
Angers
✓ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
2 : 0 FT
Cremonese
✓ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
0 : 1 FT
Santos
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
0 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
2 : 4 FT
Barcelona
Win 21%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 52%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
1 : 2 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
✓ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 61% FC Porto Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Brazil
Goias
2 : 1 FT
Botafogo
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
3 : 2 FT
Coritiba
✓ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro
0 : 4 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 26%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 44%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Deportes Copiapo
1 : 4 FT
U. Catolica
Win 33%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
4 : 1 FT
York United
Win 22%
Draw 39%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%

Showing 88 of 88 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 14 May 2023?

88 fixtures met the criteria, led by Arsenal vs Brighton at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.