Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 5 May 2023

Tue 2 Wed 3 Thu 4 Fri 5 Sat 6 Sun 7 Mon 8

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

35 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 5 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07 at 67% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 24%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

K League 1 · South-Korea

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

K League 1 · South-Korea

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Super League · China

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Super League · China

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Super League · China

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Super League · China

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Model Score 0–0 · 16%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 63%

Model Score 0–0 · 18%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Superettan · Sweden

✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Bundesliga · Austria

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 2–0 · 14%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Serie B · Italy

Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Model Score 0–0 · 15%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%

✓ Model Score 0–1 · 13%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 61%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Showing 35 of 35 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 5 May 2023?

35 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07 at 67% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.