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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Monday 8 May 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

60 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 8 May 2023. Jong PSV U21 vs PEC Zwolle led the list at 67% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 23%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
1 : 1 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 16%
Draw 33%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
0 : 1 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Minai
2 : 0 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Barrow
0 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
League Two Β· England
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Colchester
0 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 31%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Grimsby
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
1 : 1 FT
Rochdale
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Newport County
2 : 2 FT
Crewe
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Salford City
0 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Stockport County
1 : 1 FT
Hartlepool
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
1 : 1 FT
Carlisle
Win 26%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
2 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Tranmere
0 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 34%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Walsall
2 : 1 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
0 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
3 : 0 FT
Inhulets
Win 31%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
Premier League Β· England
Fulham
5 : 3 FT
Leicester
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Birmingham
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 68%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 19%
Championship Β· England
Burnley
3 : 0 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Huddersfield
2 : 0 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Luton
0 : 0 FT
Hull City
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
1 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Millwall
3 : 4 FT
Blackburn
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Norwich
0 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Preston
0 : 3 FT
Sunderland
Win 30%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
QPR
0 : 2 FT
Bristol City
Win 26%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Championship Β· England
Swansea
3 : 2 FT
West Brom
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Watford
2 : 0 FT
Stoke City
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Wigan
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
3 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
3 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Adalah
1 : 2 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
1 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
BTTS No 59% Al-Nassr Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· England
Brighton
1 : 5 FT
Everton
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
2 : 1 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
2 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
0 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Miedz Legnica
0 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
3 : 4 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 25%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
0 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
0 : 2 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
2 : 2 FT
Osters IF
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
2 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
2 : 0 FT
Ankaragücü
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
1 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
3 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
4 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
1 : 1 FT
FC OSS
Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
3 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
1 : 2 FT
Chaves
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 2 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 17%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 0 FT
Panathinaikos
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 36%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
4 : 0 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Al-Ittihad FC Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Havre
1 : 0 FT
Rodez
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 1 FT
Bologna
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
4 : 3 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
0 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 25%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%

Showing 60 of 60 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 8 May 2023?

60 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong PSV U21 vs PEC Zwolle at 67% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.