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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 28 October 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

31 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 28 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Bari vs Ternana at 76% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
1 : 0 FT
Avai
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Cuiaba Clean Sheet 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Police Tero
2 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Orenburg
4 : 1 FT
Fakel
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
0 : 3 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 36%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Miedz Legnica
2 : 4 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 19%
Draw 30%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
0 : 2 FT
Galatasaray
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
3 : 2 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
3 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 2 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
0 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
4 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
2 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 2 FT
Jong AZ
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
4 : 1 FT
Standard Liège II
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United
3 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
3 : 0 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
0 : 0 FT
Ternana
Win 37%
Draw 21%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
3 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
6 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Birmingham
2 : 0 FT
QPR
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
3 : 0 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
1 : 1 FT
Espanyol
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Finn Harps
1 : 3 FT
UCD
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 FT
Maritimo
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 31 of 31 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 28 October 2022?

31 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bari vs Ternana at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.