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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 11 March 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

34 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 11 March 2022. Benfica vs Vizela sits top on 75% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 26%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
3 : 1 FT
Seongnam FC
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
0 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 2 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 0 FT
Al Baten
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
2 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
2 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Nieciecza
0 : 2 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
1 : 1 FT
SV Sandhausen
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hansa Rostock
3 : 2 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 21%
Draw 34%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Mariupol
– : – CANC
Inhulets
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
2 : 3 FT
Ajax
Win 14%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
3 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
3 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 3 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
4 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 0 FT
De Graafschap
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 2 FT
Roda
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 5 FT
Excelsior
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Excelsior Virton
1 : 0 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 10%
Draw 18%
Win 72%
✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 14%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Górnik Łęczna
0 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
1 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Tranmere
3 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 36%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 4 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 3 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 34%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 20%
Draw 29%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Championship Β· England
West Brom
2 : 2 FT
Huddersfield
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
0 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Finn Harps
0 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
1 : 1 FT
Vizela
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Primera División Β· Chile
D. La Serena
2 : 3 FT
Cobresal
Win 26%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%

Showing 34 of 34 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 11 March 2022?

34 fixtures met the criteria, led by Benfica vs Vizela at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.