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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 25 February 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

37 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 25 February 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Excelsior vs Roda at 73% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
2 : 1 FT
Chiangmai United
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Minai
– : – CANC
Zorya Luhansk
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
0 : 3 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 24%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
4 : 0 FT
Al Nasr
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
0 : 3 FT
Ajman
Win 36%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 36%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2 FT
Al Ain
Win 21%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
✓ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
0 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Adana Demirspor Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
3 : 2 FT
Kayserispor
✓ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 3 FT
Erzgebirge AUE
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
2 : 0 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
1 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 29%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
0 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 22%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
1 : 3 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 26%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 1 FT
MVV
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
2 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 36%
Draw 22%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
3 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
4 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
4 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
✓ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 1 FT
SK Beveren
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
2 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
✓ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 1 FT
Wisla Krakow
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
2 : 3 FT
Charleroi
Win 28%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
2 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
✓ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
UCD
0 : 0 FT
Finn Harps
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Southampton
2 : 0 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
2 : 4 FT
Rennes
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Levante
3 : 0 FT
Elche
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Genoa
0 : 0 FT
Inter
Win 10%
Draw 29%
Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Inter Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 19%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Belenenses
0 : 2 FT
Pacos Ferreira
Win 30%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
1 : 1 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 37 of 37 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 25 February 2022?

37 fixtures met the criteria, led by Excelsior vs Roda at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.