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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 22 February 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

30 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 22 February 2022. Reading vs Birmingham led the list at 72% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
4 : 1 FT
Al-Faisaly FC
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 0 FT
Slovácko
Win 20%
Draw 23%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
0 : 0 FT
Vicenza Virtus
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Serie B Β· Italy
Pordenone
1 : 4 FT
Monza
Win 24%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
0 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 35%
βœ“ Draw 36%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie B Β· Italy
Alessandria
1 : 2 FT
Perugia
Win 25%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Serie B Β· Italy
Spal
5 : 1 FT
Ternana
Win 22%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Bristol City
1 : 2 FT
Coventry
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Hull City
0 : 2 FT
Barnsley
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
2 : 1 FT
West Brom
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 67% Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Championship Β· England
Preston
0 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Cambridge United
2 : 0 FT
Plymouth
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Charlton
0 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 52%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Crewe
0 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Doncaster
2 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League One Β· England
Gillingham
0 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Ipswich
0 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Rotherham
2 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
1 : 2 FT
Portsmouth
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
League One Β· England
Sunderland
1 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Wycombe
1 : 3 FT
Wigan
Win 27%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Colchester
1 : 2 FT
Hartlepool
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
5 : 0 FT
Walsall
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Bradford
1 : 3 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Rochdale
1 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Scunthorpe
0 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 21%
Draw 34%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
0 : 2 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 31%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Reading
2 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 36%
Draw 22%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 8%
League One Β· England
Bolton
3 : 1 FT
Lincoln
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%

Showing 30 of 30 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 22 February 2022?

30 fixtures met the criteria, led by Reading vs Birmingham at 72% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.