Sign in Register
🔢

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 5 November 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

32 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 5 November 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Empoli vs Genoa at 66% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 24%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Cuiaba
0 : 0 FT
Chapecoense-sc
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
1 : 0 FT
Al-Nassr
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
✓ Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Al-Fayha Clean Sheet 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 21%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
1 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
2 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
✓ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
2 : 0 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1 FT
Dynamo Dresden
Win 27%
Draw 36%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 55%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
2 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
✓ Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
1 : 0 FT
Heracles
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
2 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
2 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 6 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 3 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
0 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 29%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 46%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 36%
✓ Draw 38%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 3 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 2 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
0 : 1 FT
Reggina
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
2 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 0 FT
Oostende
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 3 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 3 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · England
Southampton
1 : 0 FT
Aston Villa
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
4 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
✓ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
0 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Finn Harps
1 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
2 : 5 FT
Famalicao
Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Showing 32 of 32 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 5 November 2021?

32 fixtures met the criteria, led by Empoli vs Genoa at 66% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.