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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 4 January 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 4 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Santa Clara vs FC Porto at 56% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 37%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
0 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 16%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 56%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Alaves
1 : 1 FT
Oviedo
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 58%
#3 League One · England
Huddersfield
2 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
#4 Premier League · England
Tottenham
1 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#5 League One · England
Bolton
0 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 1 FT
Paris FC
✓ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#7 Serie A · Italy
Lazio
0 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Alverca
1 : 0 FT
Famalicao
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
2 : 1 FT
Angers
✓ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#10 Championship · England
Millwall
2 : 1 FT
Swansea
✓ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#11 League One · England
Plymouth
3 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Championship · England
Norwich
0 : 2 FT
Stoke City
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#13 Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
0 : 2 FT
Nantes
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 0 FT
Auxerre
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#15 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
5 : 1 FT
Real Betis
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57%
#16 Championship · England
Blackburn
2 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#17 League One · England
Blackpool
1 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#18 Championship · England
Derby
1 : 2 FT
Wrexham
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#19 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
1 : 2 FT
NEOM
Win 20%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#20 League One · England
Lincoln
5 : 2 FT
Peterborough
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 4 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Santa Clara vs FC Porto at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.