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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 3 January 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 3 January 2026. Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest led the list at 51% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · England
Aston Villa
3 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
✓ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Juventus
1 : 1 FT
Lecce
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
#3 Serie A · Italy
Como
1 : 0 FT
Udinese
✓ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 5 FT
Al Kholood
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Le Mans
0 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Premier League · England
Bournemouth
2 : 3 FT
Arsenal
Win 29%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
1 : 1 FT
Athletic Club
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#8 Ligue 1 · France
Lille
0 : 2 FT
Rennes
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
0 : 3 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 32%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela
3 : 3 FT
SC Braga
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
4 : 1 FT
Laval
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#12 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
4 : 1 FT
Valencia
✓ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
#13 Premier League · England
Wolves
3 : 0 FT
West Ham
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 54%
BTTS Yes 53%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
1 : 0 FT
AS Roma
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#15 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
3 : 1 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#17 Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
1 : 3 FT
Lyon
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 54%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 2 FT
Nancy
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 56%
#19 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Tondela
3 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
#20 La Liga · Spain
Elche
1 : 3 FT
Villarreal
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 3 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.