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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Thursday 1 January 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 1 January 2026. Port Vale vs Blackpool sits top on 57% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Port Vale
5 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 17%
Draw 30%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 70% Blackpool Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Championship · England
Watford
3 : 0 FT
Birmingham
✓ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 Championship · England
Ipswich
2 : 1 FT
Oxford United
✓ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#4 Championship · England
Bristol City
5 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 League Two · England
Shrewsbury
0 : 3 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 League One · England
Exeter City
1 : 0 FT
Luton
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#7 Championship · England
Blackburn
0 : 2 FT
Wrexham
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 League Two · England
Cambridge United
2 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 League Two · England
Bromley
2 : 1 FT
Newport County
✓ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 League One · England
Wigan
1 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#11 League Two · England
Barrow
1 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 23%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 Premier League · England
Liverpool
0 : 0 FT
Leeds
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#13 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
0 : 2 FT
Tranmere
Win 15%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 65%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 League Two · England
Notts County
0 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#15 Championship · England
Southampton
0 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
#16 Championship · England
Hull City
0 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#17 League One · England
Doncaster
1 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#18 Championship · England
Preston
3 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%
#19 League One · England
Wycombe
1 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
#20 League One · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 3 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 1 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Port Vale vs Blackpool at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.