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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 16 April 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 16 April 2025. Botafogo vs Sao Paulo led the list at 50% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 20%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
2 : 2 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 46%
Draw 37%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
0 : 2 FT
Fluminense
Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Ceara
2 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 57%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
1 : 2 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#5 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 2 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Mirassol
4 : 1 FT
Gremio
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 37%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 54%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
0 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
#8 Super League Β· China
Dalian Zhixing
1 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#9 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
1 : 1 FT
Yunnan Yukun
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sport Recife
0 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 2 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
5 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 4 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 13 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 16 April 2025?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Botafogo vs Sao Paulo at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.