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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 13 April 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 13 April 2025. Fiorentina vs Parma led the list at 55% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 43%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
0 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 65%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Fiorentina Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 10%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 69%
BTTS No 59%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 0 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
3 : 1 FT
Sport Recife
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
4 : 1 FT
AVS
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
BTTS No 56%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Mantova
2 : 2 FT
Spezia
Win 21%
Draw 35%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
3 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
2 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
BTTS No 54%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 48%
Draw 35%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovácko
2 : 2 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 15%
Draw 24%
Win 61%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
3 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
0 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
1 : 1 FT
Mirassol
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 21%
Draw 26%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#16 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 0 FT
Genoa
Win 24%
Draw 33%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#18 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
2 : 1 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 53%
#19 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Liège
3 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#20 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Livyi Bereh
0 : 2 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 28%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 13 April 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fiorentina vs Parma at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.