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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 5 April 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 5 April 2025. The strongest reading belongs to AFC Wimbledon vs Harrogate Town at 57% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 44%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 61% Slavia Praha Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy
Juve Stabia
1 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 League Two Β· England
Bradford
2 : 0 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#5 Championship Β· England
Luton
1 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 20%
Draw 29%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 64%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
2 : 2 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
#7 League One Β· England
Charlton
2 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#8 League One Β· England
Birmingham
6 : 2 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
#9 League One Β· England
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 59%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
2 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 54%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Cercle Brugge
2 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
2 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Prachuap
2 : 1 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#14 Championship Β· England
Preston
1 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#15 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
0 : 0 FT
Damac
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#16 Championship Β· England
Millwall
2 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#17 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
0 : 0 FT
Wigan
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#18 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
2 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 22%
Draw 32%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#19 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
1 : 1 FT
Yverdon Sport
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 65%
#20 League One Β· England
Wrexham
3 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 5 April 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AFC Wimbledon vs Harrogate Town at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.