Sign in Register
🧤

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 2 April 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Wednesday 2 April 2025. Southampton vs Crystal Palace led the list at 55% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 17%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · England
Southampton
1 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 6%
Draw 14%
Win 80%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 58% Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
3 : 2 FT
Farense
✓ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#3 Premier League · England
Liverpool
1 : 0 FT
Everton
✓ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Premier League · England
Manchester City
2 : 0 FT
Leicester
✓ Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
4 : 1 FT
Groningen
✓ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Premier League · England
Bournemouth
1 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 53%
#7 Championship · England
Derby
2 : 0 FT
Preston
✓ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Premier League · England
Brighton
0 : 3 FT
Aston Villa
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#9 Super League · China
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
#10 League Two · England
Notts County
3 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
✓ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
#11 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
2 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
1 : 2 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
0 : 3 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 1 FT
Dalian Zhixing
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
✓ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#16 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#17 Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
2 : 2 FT
Lausanne
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
2 : 2 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Premier League · England
Newcastle
2 : 1 FT
Brentford
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 1 FT
Yunnan Yukun
✓ Win 53%
Draw 20%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 2 April 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Southampton vs Crystal Palace at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.