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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 21 January 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 21 January 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Watford vs Preston at 42% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 42% down to 20%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 32%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Watford
1 : 2 FT
Preston
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#2 Championship · England
Blackburn
0 : 2 FT
Coventry
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Championship · England
Millwall
2 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#4 Championship · England
Hull City
1 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#5 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
0 : 0 FT
Colchester
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 League One · England
Wigan
1 : 2 FT
Burton Albion
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#7 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 FT
Al Taawon
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Championship · England
Oxford United
3 : 2 FT
Luton
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4 : 1 FT
Al Wehda Club
✓ Win 81%
Draw 11%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Championship · England
Derby
0 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 30%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
2 : 0 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#12 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
4 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Championship · England
Swansea
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 33%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
0 : 2 FT
Ajman
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
#16 League One · England
Peterborough
1 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
1 : 3 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#18 League One · England
Bolton
1 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#19 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 21 January 2025?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Watford vs Preston at 42% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.