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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 20 October 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 20 October 2024. Atletico Madrid vs Leganes led the list at 53% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 1 FT
Leganes
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 0 FT
Kallithea
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
3 : 3 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liege
2 : 1 FT
Charleroi
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 39%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovácko
0 : 2 FT
Teplice
Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
4 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 2 FT
Levadiakos
Win 51%
Draw 32%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 0 FT
Inhulets
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 2 FT
Lask Linz
Win 30%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 66%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Gais
0 : 0 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#11 Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Iquique
4 : 1 FT
Cobreloa
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
5 : 1 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 2 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 22%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
3 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
1 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 36%
Draw 37%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 28%
Draw 41%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
1 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#19 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 0 FT
Pogon Szczecin
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#20 Primera División Β· Chile
Coquimbo Unido
2 : 0 FT
Cobresal
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 20 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico Madrid vs Leganes at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.