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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 23 October 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 23 October 2024. Millwall vs Plymouth sits top on 48% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 21%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies five of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Millwall
1 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Championship Β· England
Hull City
1 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 27%
Draw 35%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#3 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 36%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
0 : 0 FT
West Brom
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
FF Jaro
2 : 0 FT
Lahti
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Championship Β· England
Luton
1 : 2 FT
Sunderland
Win 31%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Haka
2 : 1 FT
Inter Turku
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
0 : 1 FT
Gnistan
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 9 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 23 October 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Millwall vs Plymouth at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.