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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 18 October 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 18 October 2024. Bastia vs Clermont Foot sits top on 51% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
0 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
0 : 2 FT
Fluminense
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Martigues
0 : 2 FT
Rodez
Win 17%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
2 : 3 FT
Valladolid
Win 66%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
3 : 1 FT
Waterford
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 24%
Draw 39%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
2 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 13%
Draw 26%
Win 60%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Catanzaro
Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 23%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 2 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 27%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Championship Β· England
Leeds
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 3 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 1 FT
Galway United
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
5 : 2 FT
Atletico Paranaense
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 3 FT
Emmen
Win 25%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
4 : 2 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Premier League Β· Russia
Akron
0 : 5 FT
Zenit
Win 15%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 18 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bastia vs Clermont Foot at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.