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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 22 October 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 22 October 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Stevenage vs Cambridge United at 58% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 34%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Stevenage
0 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 68% Stevenage Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Championship · England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#3 Championship · England
Leeds
2 : 1 FT
Watford
✓ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#4 League Two · England
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Newport County
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 League One · England
Wigan
1 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#6 Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
✓ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 League Two · England
Doncaster
0 : 1 FT
Bromley
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
3 : 0 FT
Morecambe
✓ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 League One · England
Crawley Town
3 : 0 FT
Lincoln
Win 13%
Draw 20%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
1 : 2 FT
Orebro SK
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#11 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 28%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
1 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#13 Championship · England
Preston
2 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#14 League One · England
Exeter City
1 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#15 Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 0 FT
Swansea
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#16 League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#17 League Two · England
Walsall
3 : 1 FT
Carlisle
✓ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Championship · England
Stoke City
2 : 2 FT
Bristol City
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#20 League Two · England
Tranmere
0 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 22 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stevenage vs Cambridge United at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.