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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 21 October 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

17 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 21 October 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Valencia vs Las Palmas at 49% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 16%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
2 : 3 FT
Las Palmas
Win 54%
Draw 31%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#2 Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
0 : 1 FT
Karpaty
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Superettan · Sweden
Helsingborg
2 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
✓ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
2 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 19%
Draw 30%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#6 Serie A · Brazil
Juventude
3 : 5 FT
Palmeiras
Win 29%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#7 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
2 : 0 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 1 FT
Roda
✓ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
#9 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 32%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#11 Süper Lig · Turkey
Bodrum FK
0 : 1 FT
Rizespor
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
0 : 3 FT
Paris FC
Win 27%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 48%
#13 Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
1 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 3 FT
Monza
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Rayong FC
3 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 3 FT
Excelsior
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 17 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 21 October 2024?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Valencia vs Las Palmas at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.