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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 9 March 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 9 March 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 at 48% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 40%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
8 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
0 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 1 FT
Utrecht
Win 26%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#4 Championship Β· England
Norwich
5 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 71%
#5 League One Β· England
Exeter City
2 : 2 FT
Bolton
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 58%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
1 : 3 FT
Annecy
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
2 : 3 FT
Feralpisalo
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#9 League Two Β· England
Morecambe
1 : 3 FT
Wrexham
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
2 : 0 FT
Akhmat
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
1 : 0 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#12 League Two Β· England
Barrow
2 : 0 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
5 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain
Granada CF
2 : 3 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 19%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 56%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Polessya
1 : 2 FT
Oleksandria
Win 27%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#17 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
1 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 0 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
#19 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
2 : 2 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
1 : 2 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 9 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.