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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 10 March 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 10 March 2024. Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg sits top on 49% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 39%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
✓ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
2 : 2 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#3 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
1 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#4 Ligue 1 · France
Lille
2 : 2 FT
Rennes
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#5 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
3 : 0 FT
Heracles
✓ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#6 Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
2 : 2 FT
FC Sochi
Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#7 Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
1 : 0 FT
Baltika
✓ Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
4 : 2 FT
Gangwon FC
✓ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#9 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
2 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
2 : 0 FT
Nantes
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Las Palmas
0 : 2 FT
Athletic Club
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
3 : 1 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
3 : 1 FT
Ruch Chorzów
✓ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#14 Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
0 : 2 FT
Fakel
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#15 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
1 : 0 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#16 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
3 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#17 Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
5 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
✓ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#18 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 4 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
#19 Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
3 : 1 FT
Lausanne
✓ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Serie B · Italy
Venezia
3 : 1 FT
Bari
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 10 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.