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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 25 February 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 25 February 2024. Panathinaikos vs Kifisia led the list at 54% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 39%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 1 FT
Kifisia
Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS No 55% Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Juventus
3 : 2 FT
Frosinone
✓ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 56%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
3 : 1 FT
Athletic Club
Win 32%
Draw 41%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 66%
#4 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
4 : 0 FT
Portimonense
✓ Win 87%
Draw 9%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
✓ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Sevilla
✓ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 54%
#7 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 0 FT
Seraing United
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 53%
#8 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
0 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 16%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 61%
#9 Super League 1 · Greece
PAS Giannina
2 : 2 FT
OFI
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#10 Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 0 FT
Colo Colo
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Ligue 1 · France
Nice
0 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
#12 Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
4 : 1 FT
Montpellier
✓ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#13 Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 53%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Lecce
0 : 4 FT
Inter
Win 10%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
4 : 1 FT
Pendikspor
✓ Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
#16 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 FT
Uthai Thani
✓ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56%
#17 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
1 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Las Palmas
1 : 1 FT
Osasuna
Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#19 Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
0 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#20 Premier League · Ukraine
Dnipro-1
1 : 1 FT
Minai
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 25 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Panathinaikos vs Kifisia at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.