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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 24 November 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 24 November 2023. Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Braunschweig led the list at 59% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 33%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
2 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
✓ Win 79%
Draw 16%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 62% Hamburger SV Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 2 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
1 : 1 FT
Volos NFC
Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#5 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 2 FT
Al Riyadh
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#6 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
0 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#7 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
0 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 58%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 5 FT
Willem II
Win 24%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#9 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 1 FT
Nakhon Pathom
Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
2 : 1 FT
Spezia
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58%
#11 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#12 Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 60%
#14 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
2 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
0 : 0 FT
Polessya
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#16 Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 15%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 62%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
3 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Groningen
2 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 56%
#19 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
3 : 2 FT
Dender
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
3 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 24 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Braunschweig at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.