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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 5 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 5 May 2023. Shelbourne vs UCD led the list at 52% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Veikkausliiga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 0 FT
UCD
✓ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#2 Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 3 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#3 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
4 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
✓ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
BTTS No 53%
#4 Veikkausliiga · Finland
VPS
2 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
Win 31%
Draw 42%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 63%
#5 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
4 : 2 FT
Kooteepee
✓ Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 18%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Honka
3 : 0 FT
Lahti
Win 33%
Draw 41%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#9 Serie B · Italy
Perugia
0 : 5 FT
Cagliari
Win 34%
Draw 36%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 1 FT
Portimonense
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#11 Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
2 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 27%
Draw 39%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
✓ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 1 FT
Suwon Bluewings
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#14 Super League · China
Henan Jianye
0 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#15 K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
1 : 1 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
#16 Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
✓ Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#17 Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
2 : 1 FT
Inter Turku
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 62%
#18 Superettan · Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 1 FT
Utsikten
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 0 FT
Willem II
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#20 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves
1 : 2 FT
AC Oulu
Win 29%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 5 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shelbourne vs UCD at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.