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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 2 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Tuesday 2 May 2023. Barcelona vs Osasuna led the list at 65% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 25%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

La Liga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Osasuna
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 74% ✓ Barcelona Clean Sheet 65%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
2 : 1 FT
Gais
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Almeria
2 : 1 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ettifaq
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 56%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 0 FT
Real Madrid
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
0 : 1 FT
Bahia
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
0 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 28%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 47%
BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
3 : 1 FT
Chelsea
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
1 : 0 FT
Al-Adalah
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
#11 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
2 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
3 : 1 FT
Al Baten
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 12 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 2 May 2023?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Osasuna at 65% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.