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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 3 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Wednesday 3 May 2023. Juventus vs Lecce led the list at 52% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
2 : 1 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 61%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 0 FT
Minai
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
5 : 1 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 62%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
2 : 2 FT
Sirius
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 64%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
6 : 1 FT
Halmstad
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
3 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 13%
Draw 20%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#8 League Two Β· England
Crewe
3 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
0 : 2 FT
Brann
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
4 : 2 FT
Volos NFC
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 0 FT
ODD Ballklubb
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
4 : 1 FT
Djurgardens IF
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 2 FT
Torino
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#16 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 31%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
#17 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
3 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Lviv
0 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
Win 34%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#19 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
1 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
0 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 3 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Juventus vs Lecce at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.