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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 7 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 7 May 2023. 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern sits top on 57% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 42%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
3 : 3 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 71% 1. FC Nürnberg Clean Sheet 57%
#2 League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 FT
Bolton
Win 19%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
1 : 2 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#4 League One Β· England
Cambridge United
2 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 League One Β· England
Lincoln
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
0 : 1 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
2 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67%
#9 League One Β· England
Oxford United
1 : 2 FT
Accrington ST
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
3 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#11 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 4 FT
Pacific FC
Win 21%
Draw 39%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 60%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Ajaccio
0 : 0 FT
Toulouse
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France
Auxerre
1 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
3 : 0 FT
Vizela
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
0 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 34%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#17 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
0 : 4 FT
Molde
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 League One Β· England
Exeter City
3 : 2 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
1 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 16%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 63%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
6 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 7 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.