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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 11 December 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 11 December 2022. The strongest reading belongs to RWDM vs Excelsior Virton at 44% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 44% down to 23%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
3 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
✓ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#2 Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
0 : 0 FT
Pisa
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Benevento
1 : 0 FT
Cittadella
Win 29%
Draw 36%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 0 FT
Standard Liège II
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Cagliari
3 : 2 FT
Perugia
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Como
0 : 1 FT
Reggina
Win 31%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 1 FT
MVV
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 58%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
4 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
✓ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 0 FT
Deinze
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Serie B · Italy
Spal
1 : 1 FT
Palermo
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Venezia
2 : 0 FT
Cosenza
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 2 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
0 : 0 FT
Genoa
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#15 Serie B · Italy
Bari
4 : 1 FT
Modena
✓ Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Championship · England
Watford
0 : 0 FT
Hull City
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Championship · England
QPR
0 : 3 FT
Burnley
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
0 : 0 FT
Ternana
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 37%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 11 December 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by RWDM vs Excelsior Virton at 44% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.